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Working Papers in Demography

Recent and out of print working papers are available in PDF format. To download these papers you will need Adobe Acrobat Reader which can be downloaded free of charge from the Adobe web site.

To request a paper copy of earlier papers free of charge, email Demog.Program@coombs.anu.edu.au. For our mailing address or telephone or fax numbers please go to our contacts page.


Year
No
Author Title  
2006 102 Heather Booth, Guangyu Zhang, Maheshra Rao, Fakavae Taomia and Ron Duncan

Population Pressures in Papua New Guinea, the Pacific Island Economies, and Timor Leste

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
  101 Heather Booth, Rob J. Hyndman, Leonie Tickle and Piet de Jong

Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
  100 Heather Booth

Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
  99 Rob J. Hyndman and Heather Booth

Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration

PDF (KB)
  98 Rebecca Kippen, Ann Evans and Edith Gray Parental Desire for Sons and Daughters in a Western Industrial Setting: Evidence and Implications PDF (KB)
2005 97 Yohannes Kinfu Spatial Mobility Among Indigenous Australians: Patterns and Determinants PDF (KB)
  96 Ann Evans Psychosocial Aspects of Teenage Pregnancy Resolution PDF (KB)
  95 Peter McDonald and Rebecca Kippen Reform of Income Tax in Australia: A Long-Term Agenda PDF (KB)
  94 Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi and Peter McDonald National and Provincial-Level Fertility Trends in Iran, 1972-2000 PDF (KB)
2004
93
Rebecca Kippen and David Lucas Sources for Australian Historical Demography PDF (KB)
92
Heather Booth and Leonie Tickle

Beyond Three Score Years and Ten: Prospects for Longevity in Australia

PUBLISHED VERSION.
Winner of the Institute of Actuaries of Australia 2005 H. M. Jackson Memorial Prize for excellence in published papers.

PDF (KB)
2003
91
Rebecca Kippen Trends in Age- and Parity-Specific Fertility in Australia PDF (KB)
90
Heather Booth and Leonie Tickle

The Future Aged: New Projections of Australia's Elderly Population

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
89
Peter McDonald, Siew-Ean Khoo and Rebecca Kippen Alternative Net Migration Estimates for Australia: Exploding the Myth of a Rapid Increase in Numbers PDF (KB)
88
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, Peter McDonald and Meimanat Hossein Chavoshi Changes in Family, Fertility Behavior and Attitudes in Iran PDF (KB)
2002
87
Brett A. Davis, Christopher R. Heathcote, Terrence J. O'Neill and Borek D. Puza The Health Expectancies of Older Australians PDF (KB)
2001
86
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi and Gavin W. Jones Socio-economic and Demographic Setting of Muslim Populations PDF (KB)
85
Heather Booth, John Maindonald, Len Smith

Age-time Interactions in Mortality Projection: Applying Lee-Carter to Australia

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
2000
84
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi Effects of Marital Fertility and Nuptiality on Fertility Transition in the Islamic Republic of Iran, 1976-1996 PDF (KB)
1999
83
Terence H. Hull Indonesian Fertility Behaviour Before the Transition: Searching for Hints in the Historical Record PDF (KB)
82
Santosh Jatrana Determinants of Infant Mortality in a Backward Region of North India: Are Socio-economic or Demographic Factors Dominant? PDF (KB)
81
Gavin W. Jones The Population of South-East Asia (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
80 Gavin W. Jones, Ching-lungTsay and Bhishna Bajracharya Demographic and Employment Change in Megacities of South-East and East Asia (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
79 Chalermkwun Chiemprachanarakorn, David Lucas and Chris McMurray Why Do Some Thai Students Drop Out After 6 Years of Compulsory Primary Schooling? PDF (KB)
78 Lado Ruzicka and C.Y. Choi Youth Suicide in Australia (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
77
Heather Booth

Patterns of Suicide: Factors Affecting Age-Sex Distributions of Suicide in Western Samoa and Fiji Indians

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
1998 76 Heather Booth

Pacific Island Suicide in Comparative Perspective (OUT OF PRINT)

PUBLISHED VERSION

PDF (KB)
75 Rossarin Soottipong, David Lucas and Alan Gray The Roles of Policy and Community Organisation in Fertility Reduction of the Karen People of Thailand PDF (KB)
74 Dirk J. van de Kaa Postmodern Fertility Preferences: from Changing Value Orientation to New Behaviour (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
73 Donald T. Rowland Cross-National Trends in Childlessness (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
72 Mohammad Mirzaie Swings in Fertility Limitation in Iran (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
1997
71
Gavin W. Jones "Australian Identity", Racism and Recent Responses to Asian Immigration to Australia (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
70
Donald T. Rowland Approaches to Population Policy in Australia (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
69 Peter McDonald Gender Equity, Social Institutions and the Future of Fertility (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
1996 68 Budi Utomo Infant Feeding and Child Health: Lessons from Indramayu, West Java PDF (KB)
67 Simon Szreter Urbanisation, Mortality and the Standard of Living Debate in Britain in the Nineteenth Century: New Estimates of the Expectations of Life at Birth in Large British Cities PDF (KB)
66 Ayse Gedik Internal Migration in Turkey, 1965-1985: Test of some Conflicting Findings in the Literature PDF (KB)
65 Christine McMurray Measuring Excess Risk of Child Mortality: An Exploration of DHS I Data for Burundi, Uganda and Zimbabwe PDF (KB)
64 Gordon A. Carmichael Consensual Partering in New Zealand: Evidence from Three Censuses PDF (KB)
63 John Knodel and Gavin W. Jones Does Promoting Girl's Schooling Miss the Mark? PDF (KB)
62 Simon Szreter Falling Fertilities and Changing Sexualities in Europe Since c. 1850: A Comparative Survey of National Demographic Patterns PDF (KB)
61 Gordon A. Carmichael, Andrew Webster and Peter McDonald Divorce Australian Style: A Demographic Analysis PDF (KB)
1995 60 Gordon A. Carmichael From Floating Brothels to Suburban Semi-Respectability: A History of Nonmarital Pregnancy in Australia PDF (KB)
59 Miroslava Prazak and Heather Booth Measurement and Meaning: Community-Based Research on Child Mortality in Rural Kenya PDF (KB)
58 Ricardo F. Neupert Population and the Pastoral Economy in Mongolia PDF (KB)
57 Lawrence D.E. Ikamari Explaining Regional Variation in Infant and Child Mortality in Kenya PDF (KB)
56 Gordon A. Carmichael Consensual Partnering in the More Developed Countries: An Overview PDF (KB)
55 Habtemariam Tesfaghiorghis Fertility Change and Differentials in Kiribati PDF (KB)
54 Terence H. Hull Looking Back to the Hygiene Study Ward: A Brief Guide to the Literature Abstract PDF (KB)
53 Geoffrey McNicoll Institutional Impediments to Population Policy in Australia Abstract PDF (KB)
52 Gavin W. Jones, Endang Sulistyaningsih, & Terrence H. Hull Prostitution in Indonesia (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
1994 51 Gordon A. Carmichael Trans-Tasman Migration: A Post-War Overview with Emphasis on the 1980s Abstract PDF (KB)
50 N. Y. Luther, K. H. W. Gaminiratne & A. Gray Demographic Estimates for the Aboriginal Populations of Three Regions of Australia: Northern Territory, South Australia and Western Australia - 1986-91 (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
49 Md. Shahidullah The Sisterhood Method of Estimating Maternal Mortality: A Study from Matlab, Bangladesh Abstract PDF (KB)
48 E. P. Renne An Anthropological Approach to Fertility Change (OUT OF PRINT) PDF (KB)
47 D. Goodkind The Vietnamese Double Marriage Squeeze Abstract  
46 Adrian Hayes The Role of Culture in Demographic Analysis: A Preliminary Investigation Abstract  
45 Heather Booth The Estimation of Levels and Trends in Age at First Birth and Age at First Marriage in the Pacific Islands (OUT OF PRINT)  
1993 44 M. Blume Quality of Care in International Family Planning Programs: Implications for Australian Service Delivery (OUT OF PRINT)  
43
L. Stloukal The Politics of Population Policy: Abortion in the Soviet Union (OUT OF PRINT)  
42 L. H. Day Recent Fertility Trends in Industrialised Countries - an End of the Decline? (OUT OF PRINT)  
41 Geoffrey McNicoll Strategies of Fertility Control: Strong Persuasion (OUT OF PRINT)  
40 Christine McMurray Microcomputer Software for Population Projections: A Review of Six Packages Abstract  
39 Gordon A. Carmichael A History of Migration Between NZ & Australia Abstract  
1992
38
D. Goodkind Estimates of Averted Chinese Births, 1971-1990 Abstract  
37 D. Goodkind Motivating Ethnic fertility Values: A Regional Study of the Dragon Year Baby Boom Among the Chinese in Peninsular Malaysia, 1976 & 1988 Abstract  
36 Gavin W. Jones Divorce in Islamic Southeast-Asia (OUT OF PRINT)  
35 Gordon A. Carmichael Beware the Passenger Card! Australian & NZ data on Population Movement Between the Two Countries Abstract  
34 Geoffrey McNicoll The Economics of Australian Immigration, with Reference to Trans-Tasman flows Abstract  
33 Gavin W. Jones The role of Female Migration in Development (OUT OF PRINT) Abstract  
1991 32 Geoffrey McNicoll Changing Fertility Patterns and Fertility Policies in the Third World (OUT OF PRINT)  
  31 W. I. DeSilva Reproductive Intentions in Sri Lanka: Do they Predict Behaviour? Abstract  
30 Md. Shahidullah Is Breastfeeding a Crucial Determinant of Child Survival? Evidence from Matlab, Bangladesh Abstract  
29 R. S. Hogg Indigenous Mortality: Placing Australian Aboriginal Mortality Within a Broader Context Abstract  
28 A. Dharmalingam Agrarian Structure and Population in India: A Selective Survey Abstract  
27 Rossarin Sootipong Differentials in Contraceptive Use Among the Karen in Chiang Mai Province, Northern Thailand Abstract  
26 Sunee Leenothai The Role of Growth Centres in Migration of Women: Destination Choices of Female Migrants in Thailand Abstract  
25 Dr. L. H. Day The Obligation of Refugees (OUT OF PRINT)  
24 Dr. P. Guest Martial Dissolution and Development in Indonesia Abstract  
1990 23 G. A. Carmichael Colonial and Post-Colonial Demographic Patterns in Australia Abstract  
22 T. H. Hull & Sri Harijati Hatmadji Regional Fertility Differentials in Indonesia: Causes and Trends (OUT OF PRINT)  
21 L. H. Day Upper-Age Longevity in Low-Mortality Countries: A Dissenting View
Abstract
 
20 G. W. Jones Consequences of Rapid Fertility Decline for Old Age Security in Asia (OUT OF PRINT)  
19 C. Young The Impact of Demographic Change on Australia's Labour Force with Reference to the Special Role of Women Abstract  
18 C. Young How Serious is the Ageing Problem & What Can be Done About it? (OUT OF PRINT)  
17 G. McNicoll Are Australian Families Like Others? (OUT OF PRINT)  
16 G. W. Jones Fertility Transitions Among Malay Populations of SE-Asia Abstract  
1989 15 Sam Baum and Christabel Young The Exchange of Migrants Between Australia and the United States  
14 Barry York Maltese Migration: Historical Statistics, 1890-1938 (OUT OF PRINT)  
1984 13 Charles A. Price et al Birthplaces of the Australian Population 1861 - 1981 (OUT OF PRINT)  
1980 12 J.C. Caldwell, A.K.M. Jalaluddin, P. Caldwell, W. Cosford The Control of Activity in Bangladesh (OUT OF PRINT)  
11 J.C. Caldwell The Failure of Theories of Social and Economic Change to Explain Demographic Change: Puzzles of Modernization or Westernization (OUT OF PRINT)  
1978 10 Christabel M. Young Cohort Analysis of Mortality - An Historical Survey of the Literature (OUT OF PRINT)  
9 Christabel M. Young French Historical Demography (OUT OF PRINT)  
1977 8 John Connell The People of Siwai: Population Change in a Solomon Island Society (OUT OF PRINT)  
7 John C. Caldwell and Lado T. Ruzicka Australian Fertility Transition: De-stabilizing a Quasi-stable Situation (OUT OF PRINT)  
6 Robin J. Pryor Bibliography on Internal Migration in South East Asia  
5 Robin J. Pryor Morbidity and Minerals: Health and Mortality in Victoria in the 1850s  
1976 4 Robin J. Pryor Demographic Sample Data on Malaysian Internal Migrants, 1967 and 1969 (OUT OF PRINT)  
3 Charles A. Price and Patricia Pyne Australian Immigration: A: The Foreign-born Population and their Children Born in Australia. B: Some Characteristics of Settler Loss (OUT OF PRINT)  
1975 2 Christabel M.Young Planned Numbers of Children Vs. Expected Numbers of Children  
1 Graeme Hugo Demographic Research in Indonesia: A Review