DEMO8008
Principles of Population Analysis
DEMO8008 home | Course outline | Assessment | Previous
student feedback
COURSE OUTLINE
(based around Hinde's Demographic Methods and Carmichael's An
Introduction to Demographic Analysis)
1. Introduction (Hinde chapter 1; Carmichael ch. 1)
Definition and scope of demography; sources of population data; the
population balancing equatSion; demographic rates.
2. The measurement of mortality (Hinde ch. 2 & 3; Carmichael
ch. 2 & 3, pp. 141-144)
The crude death rate; age-specific death rates; difference between rates
and probabilities; the Lexis diagram; direct and indirect standardisation.
3. The life table (Hinde ch. 4; Carmichael ch. 4)
Single-year and abridged life table components and their calculation;
interpretation of life table components; cohort and period life tables;
the shape of life table quantities; practical use of life tables.
4. The analysis of marriage (Hinde ch. 7; Carmichael ch. 5)
Defining marriage and marital status; marriage rates; gross nuptiality
tables; singulate mean age at marriage.
5. The measurement of migration (Hinde ch. 15; Carmichael ch. 7)
International and internal migration; gross and net migration; migration
data; migration rates; indirect estimation of migration.
6. The measurement of fertility (Hinde ch. 8, 9 & 10; Carmichael
ch. 6)
The crude birth rate, general fertility rate, age-specific fertility
rates, gross reproduction rate, net reproduction rate, total fertility
rate; period and cohort analysis of fertility; natural and controlled
fertility; Coale (Princeton) fertility indices; Bongaarts fertility
model; parity progression.
7. Models of population structure (Hinde ch. 13 & 14; Carmichael
ch. 8)
Population age and sex structure; population pyramids; determinants
of population size, age structure and growth rate; stable and stationary
populations; applications of stable population theory; model life tables.
8. Population projections (Hinde ch. 16, 17 & 18)
Formula methods; cohort-component method; projecting fertility, mortality
and migration; limitations of population projections.
